The Baltimore Orioles (34-40) visit the Seattle Mariners (34-40) for a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park. Monday’s opener is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Typical Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Seattle leads 2-1.
The Orioles are continuing a trip that opened with 3 wins in 4 games at Chicago. Baltimore held the White Sox to just 6 runs in the 4 games, and Oriole pitching owns a 1.99 ERA since June 16. Baltimore is 7-3 over that span.
The Mariners are back at home after a successful 5-1 road trip against the Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels. Seattle notched a 1.87 ERA on the road trip and owns a fine 2.80 mark since May 27.
Orioles at Mariners projected starters
RHP Tyler Wells vs. RHP George Kirby
Wells (5-4, 3.34 ERA) has made 14 starts this season. He has logged a 1.10 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 64 2/3 IP.
Tossed 5 shutout innings in his last start and owns a 2.00 ERA in his last 5 efforts.
Threw a season-high 95 pitches in that June 22 start vs. the Washington Nationals, allowing 3 H, 4 BB and 4 K.
Owns a 2.20 ERA at home and a 4.25 mark on the road.
Kirby (2-2, 3.12 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 49 IP.
Tossed 5 shutout innings in his last start and owns a 2.17 ERA over his last 5.
Rookie got his 1st MLB win vs. Orioles on May 31 going 6 IP, 4 hits, 0 runs, 1 BB, 8 SO.
Orioles at Mariners odds and lines
Odds provided by Typical Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 2:36 p.m. ET.
Money line: Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Orioles at Mariners picks and predictions
Mariners 5, Orioles 3
Kirby’s surface ERA rings truer than Wells’, and the Orioles pen is out too far over its skis with its ERA of 3.06. The Mariners are a lean but only an actionable one with value coming back at -150 or better. PASS.
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Wells threw a season-high 95 pitches in his last; he averages just 73 pitches per start. The Baltimore bullpen behind him is well-rested but has its overall numbers propped up by some hard-to-repeat rates around the margins.
In a game with an Over lean, TAKE SEATTLE -1.5 (+140).
Both offenses sport analytics that leave room for growth. On a warm-weather night with a batter’s wind blowing out to left-center, and with some fade-Baltimore-pitching lean, BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-115).
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