We are in week 5 of the college football season, and we have $25,000 to give away in the FOX bet Super 6 college football Pick 6 match!
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The FOX Bet Super 6 College Football Pick 6 is a free to play game. We give you six marquee matchups and you give us your picks for the winners of each game and the margins of victory.
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We want you to win, so before you make your choice, let’s dive into our tips!
no. 7 Kentucky @ no. 14 be Miss (12 p.m. ET Saturday, ESPN)
SEC East meets SEC West. Which Top 25 team will pass the test?
Jumping straight into this week’s forecasts with bars because why not.
Seriously though, this will be a tough match-up between 4-0 squads coming to an end.
Last week against Northern Illinois, Kentucky held the Huskies to 199 passing yards. With that game, the Wildcats kept their first four opponents under 200 passing yards for the first time since 1989. As head coach Mark Stoops has been a defensive defender throughout his college career, the UK with a solid D under him is sure to be spot on.
But Ole Miss would like to talk.
The Rebels are one of four FBS squads that average 40 or more points per game, while giving up 10 or less. Ole Miss ranks fourth in the nation in rushing yards per game, averaging 280.8 yards per game.
But we’re going to use the good old-fashioned eye test for this. And what we see is that Kentucky has the best win of the season between these teams. In week 2 the cats fell over Florida 26-16. The Rebels’ Best Victory? If we had to pick one, we’d say it was their 28-10 win Troy in their season opener.
Cats get this win.
Kentucky with 7 to 9 points
number 4 Michigan @ Iowa (12 p.m. ET Saturday, FOX)
The undefeated Wolverines got past a spicy Maryland squad last week. This game against Iowa will be another tough challenge.
The 3-1 Hawkeyes are fourth in the nation in red zone defense and sixth in the nation in overall defense. The Hawkeyes have had no turnovers in their last two games. To say Iowa has a hawk’s eye on the ball is an understatement.
Michigan comes in this game with one of college football’s best running backs, Blake Choir. His 7.47 yards per carry ranks third in FBS. As a team, Michigan ranks third in the nation with 22 rushes from at least 15 yards. Clearly, Michigan’s ground attack has been an important part of their perfect season thus far.
One more thing to note. Michigan leads this all-time series 43-15-4. And they faced each other before in last year’s Big Ten Championship game. Big Blue won easily 42-3.
After this weekend, the Wolverines have two straight W’s over the Hawkeyes.
Michigan with 10 to 13 points
No. 2 Alabama @ no. 20 Arkansas (3:30 p.m. ET Saturday, CBS)
You know how Alabama normally looks legit as Goliath against pretty much any opponent? And then there’s that one game – maybe even two – that exposes the tide to the mere mortals that they are?
Well, this game in Arkansas is one of those.
The Razorbacks come from a narrow 23-21 loss to Texas A&M, but there are a few bright spots for coach Sam Pittman & Co. when they host Bama. The Razorbacks have intercepted 28 passes since the start of the 2020 season, which is second place in the SEC. And they lead the nation in sacks with a total of 20. That’s four more than the next team.
But no matter how close we think Arkansas can hold this game, Bama is still Bama.
Since 2018, the Tide has scored 40 or more points in 71.7% of their games. Bama’s D has forced a 3-and-out on 23-of-29 drives this season. And when they have the ball, the Tide has racked up 400 or more yards in fouls in 54 of their last 60 games.
And Bama owns this 22-8 all time series.
So this is close? Yes. But will Alabama return to Tuscaloosa with a win? Also, yes.
Alabama with 4 to 6 points
Michigan state @ Maryland (3:30 p.m. ET Saturday, FS1)
Michigan State has as many losses over two games this year as it did last season. Sparty is going through some stuff and we expect Maryland to take full advantage this weekend.
At FOX Bet, the Terrapins 8-point favorites. A late dump touchdown and 2-point conversion helped Maryland to 17-point spread last week against Michigan – and cost a Super 6 contender. But the Terps still didn’t get the outright victory. This weekend will be different. Search Maryland to win and cover.
Maryland has won six consecutive games against unranked teams. Pot, meet Kettle. But the stat still stands. The Terps have also scored on 15 of their 16 red zone drives. And we cannot emphasize enough how difficult that is to achieve.
Yes, the Spartans lead this series 10-2, but the state of Michigan today looks a little different from yesteryear. The current state of Michigan lets opponents convert third downs 43.3% of the time. That will be the downfall of the Spartans this weekend.
Maryland wins big.
Maryland with 10 to 13 points
no. 9 State of Oklahoma @ no. 16 Baylor (3:30 p.m. ET Saturday, FOX)
“They haven’t played against anyone!” That’s us screaming in the void about both teams. Okay, Baylor played BYU and lost 26-20. But when I look at these squads’ matchups, I see teams like albania and Arkansas-Pine Bluff!
It gives cupcake.
But this week begins the real slate of games for State and Baylor.
Oklahoma State is 11-7 against the spread (ATS) and 10-8 straight up (SU) against Baylor under coach Mike Gundy. In their last seven games against AP-ranked opponents, the Cowboys have gone 6-1 SU.
Baylor, on the other hand, is 3-5 SU when facing Top 10 opponents since 2018. But these other stats make us take a curious look at the Bears.
If they are favorites at home, like this weekend, the Bears have been standing 10-0 against Big 12 opponents since 2017. And for 18 straight games, those sturdy Bears have kept their opponents under 30 points.
We’ve never seen a bear fall for a cowboy in the wild, and we won’t see him this weekend either.
Baylor with 7 to 9 points
no. 10 State of North Carolina @ Number 5 Clemson (7:30 p.m. ET Saturday, ABC)
Saving the best for last. This will definitely be the kind of game that will have you on the edge of your seat.
Clemson does indeed own the run 59-29-1, but the Wolfpack defeated the Tigers 27-21 last year. And we pick them out to upset again this year.
Let’s take a look at the Suit. NC State leads the ACC with an average of just 11.8 points per game for opponents. The 261.5 yards per game they give up is the second best in the conference. And they allow a 25% third-down conversion rate, which ranks seventh in FBS.
Clemson comes into this matchup with a little extra confidence as it thrives in nighttime gaming atmospheres. Since 2015, the Tigers have gone 43-7 in night games. They also possess the longest active home win streak in the country with 36. Under coach Dabo Swinney, Clemson is 84-3 as the home favorite.
But we can’t beat Clemson’s match Wake Forest we are totally crazy. It took the Tigers two overtimes to beat the Demon Deacons last week, a team we would say isn’t as talented from head to toe as NC State.
So Tiger Faith, don’t look. Let’s go Wolfpack.
NC status with 1 to 3