Indyref Poll: Savanta Comres Finds Support for Growing Independence

More than half of people in Scotland do not want another independence referendum next year, according to a new poll.

Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon has announced plans for a second vote on the issue on October 19, 2023.

With the UK government refusing to authorize such a vote, Ms Sturgeon is asking UK Supreme Court justices to decide whether Holyrood can hold a referendum without Westminster’s support.

When asked whether a referendum should be held in October next year, 53% of people said no, 40% said yes, and the rest were undecided, according to a poll by The Scotsman.

If the Supreme Court judges rule that the vote cannot take place, Ms Sturgeon has already stated that the next Westminster election will be a “de facto referendum” on Scotland’s place in the UK.

The Scotsman survey, conducted by Savanta ComRes, found that 44% of those polled support independence while 46% are against, both a 1% decrease from a survey last month, while 10% were undecided, an increase of three percentage points.

When the “don’t know” were removed, 49% said they would vote yes, while 51% said they would vote no, which remained unchanged.

Savanta ComRes interviewed 1,029 Scottish adults aged 16 or over online between 23 and 28 June.

Associate director Chris Hopkins told the paper the results on whether Scotland should be an independent country are “practically neck and neck”.

He said: “Support for a second independence referendum without Section 30 is being driven by those in the Yes camp; opposition comes almost entirely from the Nee camp.

“Four in five yes voters say the advocacy for independence is stronger now than in 2014, a majority of no voters say it is weaker now.

“The battle lines drawn in 2014 are all too familiar, and Nicola Sturgeon’s opposition to holding a referendum at almost any cost is only widening this gap.”

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