Liz Truss set to win Tory leadership race by decisive margin, Sky News poll reveals | political news

Liz Truss will win the Tory leadership contest next month by a decisive margin, according to an exclusive Sky News poll that gives the Secretary of State a 32-point lead over rival Rishi Sunak.

The poll also shows that Boris Johnson’s legacy and personality is likely to be great in the next prime minister, as Tory members deeply regret the decision to impeach him in July.

The YouGov survey shows that 66% of members vote for Mrs Truss and 34% support Mr Sunak, once those who don’t know or don’t want to vote are excluded.

The race has tightened slightly since a YouGov poll of members just over two weeks ago when Ms. Truss had a 38 percentage point lead.

Since then, there has been a series of testing televised encounters between the candidates, including the Sky News special program The Battle for Number 10, which ended with most of the audience supporting Mr Sunak.

But the incremental improvement in his fortune revealed in this poll would not be enough to save the game for him.

About 13% say they have not yet decided how they will vote or not vote. In the poll, which closed Wednesday morning, 57% of respondents say they have already voted and 38% say they have not voted yet, but still intend to.

Of those who have already voted, 68% voted for Ms Truss and 31% for Mr Sunak. Of those who have yet to vote, 44% say they will vote for Ms Truss, 29% say they will vote for Mr Sunak, while 26% say they don’t know.

The poll makes it clear that the incumbent prime minister is still held in great affection among Tory members and that any successor could be compared unfavorably to him by Tory members.

Overall, 55% say the Tory MPs were wrong to effectively force Mr Johnson to resign, while 40% say they were right.

If Mr. Johnson were still in the contest alongside Mr. Sunak and Ms. Truss, 46% would vote for Mr. Johnson, 24% for Ms. Truss and 23% for Mr. Sunak.

Similarly, 44% say Mr Johnson would become the best prime minister, 24% Ms Truss and 23% Mr Sunak, and twice as many Tory members think Mr Johnson would beat Sir Keir Starmer in an election.

There are doubts about the likely victor’s ability to win the country. The poll found that 40% of Tory members believe a Truss victory would result in a pending parliament or a Labor majority, with worse marks for Mr Sunak.

Another challenging area for Ms. Truss if she comes into government is evident from the poll on the issue of economic aid to help the cost of living crisis.

Ms Truss has prioritized tax cuts over tackling inflation. However, 63% say the priority should be to get inflation under control, while 33% say the main goal should be to lower people’s taxes.

And 65% of Tory members support a windfall tax – something Ms Truss isn’t excited about – while 31% are against it.

Meanwhile, the poll points to deep-seated personal tensions as a result of the campaign.

About 35% of party members say Ms Truss should not include Mr Sunak in her future cabinet, while 52% say he should, suggesting a large minority have a very negative view of the former chancellor.

YouGov interviewed 1,089 Tory members from August 12-17 for Sky News.

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